输了就加倍下注，能赚钱吗？股票下跌就补仓？李永乐老师讲赌徒谬误 - Vidude

2 Views· 15 August 2022

输了就加倍下注，能赚钱吗？股票下跌就补仓？李永乐老师讲赌徒谬误

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上一回咱们讲了雅各布·伯努力所提出的大数定律
有小朋友非常高兴地跟我说
他终于找到了一种可以提高彩票中奖率的方法
彩票中每一个数字出现的概率都是相等的
因此根据大数定律在很长的时间开出这些数字也应该是等频率的
所以如果有一个数字很长时间没有开出来我们就应该买它
这样中奖的概率就特别大
这个说法对不对今天我们就来研究一下这个问题
其实这个问题很早以前人们就提出来了
并被称之为赌徒谬误

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